PDF《CB(1)2094/11-12(01)》

1 立法会财经事务委员会会议 立法会财经事务委员会会议 Meeting of LegCo Panel on Financial Affairs Meeting of LegCo Panel on Financial Affairs 二一二年六月四日 二一二年六月四日

4 June

2012 4 June

2012 香港特别行政区政府 香港特别行政区政府 Hong Kong SAR Government Hong Kong SAR Government CB(1)2094/11 CB(1)2094/11- -12(01) 12(01)

2 2 2012年第一季经济表现 Economic performance in

2012 Q1

3 -10 -5

0 5

10 15 Q1

2007 Q1

2008 Q1

2009 Q1

2010 Q1

2011 Q1

2012 按年增减 Year-on-year change 经季节性调整按季增减 Seasonally adjusted quarter-to-quarter change 实质增减率 (%) Rate of change in real terms (%) 本地生产总值 Gross Domestic Product

3 香港经济增长进一步放缓 Economic growth decelerating further 0.

4% 0.4%

4 4 对外贸易环节 External sector

5 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5

0 5

10 15

20 25

30 Q1

2007 Q1

2008 Q1

2009 Q1

2010 Q1

2011 Q1

2012 经季节性调整按季增减 Seasonally adjusted quarter-to-quarter change 实质增减率 (%) Rate of change in real terms (%) 按年增减 Year-on-year change 货物出口 Exports of goods

5 货物出口按年显著下跌, 惟部份受去年高基数所影响 Exports of goods fell visibly year-on-year, though partly reflecting the high base of comparison -5.7% 1.8%

6 6 所有主要市场的出口均呈现弱势 Exports to all major markets showing weakness -7.4 -1.5 -7.8 -7.1 -9.7 Q1

2012 6.2 -2.3 2.8 -11.0 -8.3 Q4 12.2 -4.1 -6.2 -15.1 -4.3 Q3 13.1 -5.9 -2.5 -12.0 -0.9 Q2 23.6 4.1 19.3 5.4 6.6 Q1

2011 14.2 7.4 7.0 10.4 1.0 Q4 23.2 15.4 26.3 19.7 15.8 Q3 31.1 26.2 18.8 19.9 10.4 Q2 35.8 15.1 32.1 6.7 -0.6 Q1

2010 其他亚洲地区 Other Asia 日本 Japan 中国 China 美国 USA 欧盟 EU 按年增减率 (%) Year-on-year rate of change (%) Hong Kong'

s merchandise exports in volume terms 香港货物出口量

7 -10 -5

0 5

10 15

20 Q1

2007 Q1

2008 Q1

2009 Q1

2010 Q1

2011 Q1

2012 服务输出 Exports of services 按年增减 Year-on-year change 经季节性调整按季增减 Seasonally adjusted quarter-to-quarter change 实质增减率 (%) Rate of change in real terms (%)

7 服务输出仍录得温和增长 Exports of services still attained modest growth 3.6% 1.8%

8 -15 -10 -5

0 5

10 15

20 25

30 35

40 Q1

2007 Q1

2008 Q1

2009 Q1

2010 Q1

2011 Q1

2012 金融及商用服务 Financial and business services 与贸易有关的服务 Trade-related services 运输服务 Transportation services 按年实质增减率 (%) Year-on-year rate of change in real terms (%) -15 -10 -5

0 5

10 15

20 25

30 35

40 Q1

2007 Q1

2008 Q1

2009 Q1

2010 Q1

2011 Q1

2012 实质旅游服务 Travel services in real terms 访港旅客人次 Visitor arrivals 按年增减率 (%) Year-on-year rate of change (%)

8 旅游业畅旺为整体服务输出带来有力缓冲 Thriving inbound tourism rendered strong cushion to overall exports of services 15.6% 15.6% -0.2% -1.6% 2.5%

9 9 本地经济环节 Domestic sector

10 -10 -5

0 5

10 15

20 Q1

2007 Q1

2008 Q1

2009 Q1

2010 Q1

2011 Q1

2012 按年增减 Year-on-year change 经季节性调整按季增减 Seasonally adjusted quarter-to-quarter change 实质增减率 (%) Rate of change in real terms (%) 私人消费开支 Private Consumption Expenditure

10 私人消费增长依然强劲 Private consumption growth still strong 5.6% -0.2%

11 11 投资开支续见可观增长,主要由机器设备购置 及基建工程所带动 Investment grew strongly further, mainly driven by machinery and equipment acquisition and infrastructure works 23.1% 12.2% 11.1% -30 -20 -10